Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.045572 0.049596 0.053675 0.058111 0.062793 0.067580 0.072840
2024-10-27 0.039533 0.045494 0.051760 0.058808 0.066491 0.074584 0.083729
2024-11-03 0.034024 0.041268 0.049141 0.058273 0.068508 0.079568 0.092362
2024-11-10 0.030081 0.038304 0.047519 0.058498 0.071106 0.085024 0.101439
2024-11-17 0.027182 0.036199 0.046588 0.059265 0.074132 0.090846 0.110881
2024-11-24 0.025923 0.035855 0.047569 0.062141 0.079523 0.099346 0.123411
2024-12-01 0.022457 0.032521 0.044725 0.060257 0.079148 0.101046 0.128009
2024-12-08 0.020090 0.030352 0.043115 0.059693 0.080201 0.104310 0.134354
2024-12-15 0.018137 0.028551 0.041818 0.059382 0.081454 0.107734 0.140842
2024-12-22 0.017425 0.028326 0.042477 0.061484 0.085653 0.114704 0.151595
2024-12-29 0.016373 0.027548 0.042344 0.062521 0.088491 0.120010 0.160361
2025-01-05 0.015346 0.026721 0.042080 0.063336 0.091013 0.124916 0.168649
2025-01-12 0.013760 0.025014 0.040582 0.062516 0.091480 0.127349 0.174038
2025-01-19 0.012888 0.024291 0.040387 0.063399 0.094130 0.132522 0.182850
2025-01-26 0.011657 0.022933 0.039226 0.062914 0.094956 0.135380 0.188794
2025-02-02 0.010769 0.022033 0.038658 0.063194 0.096756 0.139462 0.196279
2025-02-09 0.010118 0.021455 0.038514 0.064026 0.099271 0.144453 0.204922
2025-02-16 0.010115 0.021935 0.039934 0.067070 0.104785 0.153352 0.218582
2025-02-23 0.008815 0.020141 0.037867 0.065091 0.103443 0.153328 0.220862
2025-03-02 0.007971 0.019054 0.036809 0.064500 0.103946 0.155675 0.226156
2025-03-09 0.007261 0.018140 0.035964 0.064174 0.104780 0.158438 0.231981
2025-03-16 0.007153 0.018317 0.036840 0.066392 0.109172 0.165936 0.243984
2025-03-23 0.006815 0.018039 0.036968 0.067486 0.111990 0.171355 0.253315